Investor's Corner
How Rivian’s deal with Mercedes bolsters the EV maker’s long-term outlook
After Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) struck a deal with Mercedes-Benz last week for a strategic partnership and joint production effort of electric delivery vans, analysts are explaining how the move could help bolster the EV maker’s long-term outlook.
Last week, Rivian and Mercedes-Benz announced they would build all-electric delivery vans for the European market, where the EV company has yet to deliver a vehicle. In the United States, Rivian is currently offering customers the R1T pickup, but its EDV, or Electric Delivery Van, is one of the main focal points of the company’s early production.
In 2019, Rivian found itself a worthy investor and supporter in Amazon, which ordered 100,000 EDV units from the company. Deliveries began this year after extensive pilot programs yielded adequate data for a controlled launch in several cities. The EDV is an early signal of success for Rivian as it struggles to ramp production of the R1T and R1S due to parts shortages. Supply chain issues have been cited by Rivian in the past for delayed production and delivery dates.
However, the EDV’s arrival in Europe and Rivian’s partnership with Mercedes-Benz is bolstering the company’s long-term future, which has been not in doubt but definitely questioned by those with extensive knowledge of the industry. While armchair commentators have speculated that Rivian and other EV startups would not survive the early days of production, Tesla CEO Elon Musk advised the automaker to cut costs and ramp production at its first factory before expanding with new manufacturing facilities within the United States.
The EDV partnership with Mercedes gives Rivian a new bit life, according to numerous analysts. The electric van sector, while predominately controlled by Ford, is still widely up for grabs due to relatively low volumes. While the United States may have a higher concentration of these vehicles, Europe is still lacking sustainable commercial logistics solutions, and Rivian’s EDV product is suitable for the market, Dan Ives of Wedbush explained (via MarketWatch):
“We view this as a smart strategic move by Rivian to penetrate Europe while ramping production of the EDV platform to meet its long-term growth and profitability targets. We believe Rivian is primed to capture the massive influx of current and future EV demand, capitalizing on a unique global TAM from a core engineering and design perspective along with the Amazon commercial relationship has the potential to be a major EV stalwart over the next decade. Production is improving to at least hit the 25k deliveries this year and we have confidence that customer reservations continue to increase into FY23 with the stage set for a seminal year ahead.”
Ives has a $45 price target on Rivian and an ‘Outperform’ rating on the stock.
Credit: Rivian
Additionally, Ben Kallo of Baird Securities has also said the Rivian deal will help the company solve scalability with the production portion of the deal occurring at an existing Mercedes-Benz facility in Europe. Kallo also said that Rivian has a chance to “mount a challenge to Tesla’s current dominance” in the coming years as it continues to address its total scalable market through strategic partnerships like this one:
“With few details disclosed regarding the proposed partnership, the total addressable market for electric vans is still vague. Despite a lack of clarity, RIVN is set to benefit from Mercedes’ scale while lending from its strong technology position. As the world accelerates its shift to EVs, Rivian has a solid opportunity to mount a challenge to Tesla’s current dominance.”
Kallo and Biard hold a $51 price target with an ‘Outperform’ rating on the stock. At the time of writing, shares were down just 1.6 percent on the day, but have surged over 14.5 percent since the partnership was announced last week.
Disclosure: Joey Klender is not a RIVN shareholder.
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Investor's Corner
Michael Dell points out practical advantage of Elon Musk’s proposed pay package
As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders
Michael Dell has weighed in on Elon Musk’s controversial 2025 CEO Performance Award, offering a grounded perspective amidst the noise surrounding the pay package today.
As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders. Musk would quite literally receive no compensation if he fails to achieve his targets.
Dell emphasizes results over rhetoric
Dell shared his thoughts about Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award in a post on X.“Vote FOR Elon Musk. The award is only achieved IF he hits exceptionally ambitious market-cap and operational milestones—if he falls short, he gets nothing,” Dell wrote in his post.
“If he succeeds, shareholders will win big through unprecedented value creation, and he will earn added voting rights to continue driving Tesla’s long-term vision.”
Musk replied with a short “Thanks Michael,” acknowledging Dell’s support. Dell’s framing cuts through the debate surrounding Musk’s compensation, as he simply focused on the incentive structure’s risk-reward balance.
Musk’s ambitious pay package
Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award requires Tesla’s market capitalization to rise from roughly $1.1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion within a decade. This would make Tesla more valuable than any company in history.
Apart from this, Tesla’s operating profit must also grow from $17 billion to $400 billion annually. Musk must also lead the company to several product-related milestones, such as 20 million cumulative vehicle deliveries, 10 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions, 1 million Tesla Bots, and 1 million operating Robotaxis.
So far, proxy advisors Glass Lewis and ISS have urged shareholders to vote against the plan. Some prominent investors, including ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood, however, have voiced strong support for the plan. Wood called Musk “the most productive human being on earth,” arguing that his vision and ability to attract talent are central to Tesla’s success.
Investor's Corner
Elon Musk’s 2025 pay package gets support from Tesla’s biggest bull
ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood has previously stated that she is quite confident that the vote on Elon Musk’s 2025 Performance Award would pass.
Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest and one of Tesla’s most ardent bulls, reiterated her support for Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award.
Wood highlighted that Musk’s leadership attracts incredible talent, and it has allowed the companies he leads such as Tesla to become disruptors in their respective fields.
ARK Invest supports Musk’s leadership
Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award has received a mixed reception. Proxy firms such as Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) have stated that they would be voting against Musk’s pay package. Other entities, such as the State Board of Administration of Florida (SBA), have stated that they would be voting in favor of Tesla’s proposals.
ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood, for her part, has previously stated that she is quite confident that the vote on Elon Musk’s 2025 Performance Award would pass. She also stated that a favorable result to the vote for Musk’s 2025 pay plan would be beneficial for Tesla.
“Elon Musk is the most productive human being on earth. And a human being who attracts incredible talent, people who want to solve the world’s hardest problems. This is a win-win for all of us if Elon succeeds this time,” Wood stated. Musk appreciated Wood’s comments, stating, “Thanks Cathie!” In a post on X.
ARK Invest has been one of Tesla’s most loyal bulls
Tesla is ARK Invest’s single largest holding, with the firm holding an estimated $1 billion worth of TSLA, as noted in an Insider report. Wood previously said she expects the approval of Musk’s pay package to trigger “super-exponential growth” for the automaker, as new products like the Cybercab and Optimus expand Tesla’s offerings.
“Because think about it. It is a convergence among three of our major platforms. So, robots, energy storage, AI, and it’s not stopping with Robotaxis. There’s a story beyond that with humanoid robots, and our $2,600 number has nothing for humanoid robots. We just thought it’d be an investment, period,” Wood stated during an appearance at Steven Bartlett’s podcast The Diary Of A CEO.
Investor's Corner
Tesla VP for AI software makes a case for upcoming Elon Musk shareholder vote
Elluswamy reiterated the idea that Tesla is indeed at a critical point in its history.
Tesla’s Director of Autopilot Software and VP of AI Software Ashok Elluswamy has shared his thoughts about CEO Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award. While the executive typically discusses topics related to the company’s tech and AI initiaives, Elluswamy made it a point to make a case for Musk’s proposed pay package.
Tesla’s VP for AI Software shares his insights
In a post on X, Elluswamy reiterated the idea that Tesla is indeed at a critical point in its history. This is because the company is changing from a leader in electric vehicles and a major player in the energy storage market to a powerhouse pioneer in robotics that are powered by real-world AI. As per the executive, Elon Musk’s leadership of Tesla is more relevant now more than ever. He also reported an X article he previously wrote about Elon Musk and Tesla.
“This note regarding the importance of Elon leading Tesla is more relevant now than ever. Tesla is at a critical juncture, as it is metamorphosing into the world leader in robotics. Creating large-scale, useful robots requires expertise across engineering design, manufacturing, real-world AI software, chips for AI, and more. Elon is, quite likely, the only person on Earth with deep skills and the right instincts across all these domains,” Elluswamy stated.
A push to support Musk’s 2025 performance award
In recent weeks, Tesla executives such as Board Chair Robyn Denholm have been encouraging TSLA shareholders to vote in favor of Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award, as well as other proposals that the company’s directors have argued are critical to the future of the company. These proposals, Tesla executives noted, are necessary to ensure that the company can achieve the ambitious targets of Elon Musk’s Master Plan Part IV.
Elon Musk’s pay package, as well as the company’s proposals, would be decided at the upcoming 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting, which would be held at Giga Texas on November 6, 2025. Needless to say, Tesla’s future might very well be decided during the event.
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